Broad-based equity markets have been on a rollercoaster ride since Jan. 30, 2018, as market participants appear to be reassessing the impact of inflation and potential consequences from the recent tax reform. While volatility appears to be back, high-grade corporate bond spreads have tightened to levels not seen since 2007. Compared with the last episode of substantive volatility in equities, there is a noticeable difference in how credit markets are reacting (see Exhibit 1).
wenty banking giants have agreed to support the scandal-hit benchmark the London interbank offered rate (Libor) until an alternative is found in 2021 so that the transition doesn’t rattle markets.
Businesses are showing increasing interest in using the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) to inform and enhance their social and environmental programs and ultimately their business strategies. The SDGs were adopted by the United Nations in 2015 and include 17 ambitious goals and 169 targets aimed at ending poverty, protecting the planet, and ensuring prosperity for all.
Eight years since the birth of bitcoin, central banks around the world are increasingly recognizing the potential upsides and downsides of digital currencies.
The guardians of the global economy have two sets of issues to address. First is what to do, if anything, about emergence and growth of the private cryptocurrencies that are grabbing more and more attention — with bitcoin now surging toward $10,000. The second question is whether to issue official versions.
European bond traders are looking on the bright side of tougher transparency rules — unprecedented market data that can help them make sure they’re not getting ripped off. New regulations will require details on many transactions to be published within 15 minutes, and sometimes before the trade has gone through, previously unheard of in the traditionally opaque bond market. Some dealers and investors are starting to plan how they will capture and analyze the data to help them work out fair values for trades.“Everyone should be analyzing and using the data to better understand the market,” said Mehmet Mazi, HSBC Holdings Plc’s global head of credit trading, and a speaker at this week’s Fixed Income Leaders Summit in Amsterdam. “Firms who do this smarter will have an edge.”Traders are welcoming the influx of data even though it risks making their jobs harder by potentially exposing their intentions to other parties in the predominantly over-the-counter market. Read more
Derivatives markets have grown markedly in Asia-Pacific in the past decade, with Hong Kong and Singapore now pre-eminent in regional trading of FX and interest rate derivatives (IRD). Total IRD daily average turnover in Asia-Pacific markets increased to $298.3 billion (US dollars unless otherwise specified) in April 2016 from $187.4 billion in April 2007, while the equivalent figure in FX increased to $1.7 trillion from $1 trillion.
This rate of growth has outstripped that of global derivatives markets. Between 2007 and 2016, IRD turnover in Asia-Pacific markets grew at 5% compound annual growth rate (CAGR), while FX turnover grew at 6%. Global IRD and FX turnover grew at 4% and 5% CAGR, respectively, over the same period.
China adopted its first corporate governance code in 2001, ahead of many APAC peers, with updates in 2011 and 2016. As China’s market becomes more accessible to global investors, corporate governance practices will likely face increased comparison to global standards. Our report references MSCI ESG Research’s rich corporate governance data to examine the opportunities and risks to minority shareholders presented by current corporate governance practices in the MSCI China Index.
|Challenges in FRTB Implementation|
LONDON (Reuters) – Most banks will not have to hike capital significantly to meet stricter rules to counter trading risks, a survey showed on Tuesday, after Asian nations sought to delay introducing the code citing concerns about the need for more funds.
The code, known as the “fundamental review of the trading book” or FRTB, was drawn up by the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision and tightens “market risk” capital requirements.
LONDON (Reuters) – Global debt may be under-reported by around $13 trillion because traditional accounting practices exclude foreign exchange derivatives used to hedge international trade and foreign currency bonds, the BIS said on Sunday.
Bank for International Settlements researchers said it was hard to assess the risk this “missing” debt poses, but that the main worry was a liquidity crunch like the one that seized FX swap and forwards markets during the financial crisis.
Financial regulators around the world have sought to reduce the systemic risk to liquidity caused in periods of market volatility. SEC 22e-4, the US’s most recent regulatory response to liquidity risk, will start to require compliance as early as of June 2018 and while it may feel like there’s enough time to prepare, the challenge of implementing liquidity risk systems at financial firms is actually a significant undertaking.
Contingent Convertible bonds – known as “CoCos” – have grown popular among European (and increasingly Asian) financial institutions since the 2008-09 financial crisis. They offer attractive yields but come with a challenge: figuring out when a CoCo bond is at risk of being converted to equity, which effectively can eradicate the bond’s value.
The answer, as MSCI’s Gergely Szalka writes in a new blog post, may lie in having a dedicated risk model that picks up on early warning signs. Gergely shows how MSCI’s CoCo pricing podel would have detected the rising risk that preceded this year’s collapse of Spain’s Banco Popular ahead of a standard risk model.
ISDA will host an introductory webinar tomorrow (Thursday, September 14) at 8:00 am NY time / 1:00 pm London time to provide an overview of an initiative to facilitate the adoption of emerging technologies, such as distributed ledger and smart contracts. The webinar will cover the importance of common data and process standards to aid interoperability, and will provide an update on ISDA’s work to identify and define core lifecycle events and actions and consolidate them within a so-called common domain model (CDM).
All participants must register in advance to listen to the webinar by clicking here.
Commentary: A decade after the August 2007 “Quant Liquidity Crunch,” Peter J. Zangari, global head of research and product development, writes about the changes and lessons learned from this event and the ensuing financial crisis. Among them: Best-in-class risk management is now integrated into the investment process and investors have placed greater emphasis on alternative sources of return, from factor investing to private asset classes.
Yale University economics professor Robert Shiller has a warning for investors.
The Nobel laureate says low volatility paired with a questionable price-earnings ratio could wipe out a chunk of the stock market’s value.
In June 2017, the $23 billion Vodafone-Idea Cellular merger got the go ahead from the Competition Commission of India. A few days later, the government announced a deal between two public sector undertakings (PSUs) – the Oil & Natural Gas Corporation (ONGC) and Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd (HPCL). The Rs. 28,000 crore ($4.4 billion) merger involves ONGC buying up the 51% government stake in HPCL.
As of January 1, 2018, IFRS 9 will replace the current IAS 39 across several jurisdictions, including many European countries.
By focusing on expected credit losses, IFRS 9 will represent a significant shift from IAS 39 (incurred losses) since the new impairment requirements determine that expected losses will have to be computed not only for non-performing assets, but also for performing assets, with a direct impact on Profit and Loss (P&L).